By Janis So —— 2022-04-01
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美國投資公司 VanEck 認為，比特幣的升值空間是黃金的兩倍，如果成為全球儲備資產，每枚比特幣的價值可能高達 480 萬美元。
3 月 30 日，VanEck 新興市場債務主管 Eric Fine 和首席經濟學家 Natalia Gurushina 撰寫了一篇對 BTC 的評估，他們試圖比較，如果黃金和比特幣中的一個被採用為全球貨幣制度的支撐，兩者會產生的價格影響。
比特幣可將達到 480 萬美元？
VanEck 的分析發現，BTC 的潛在價格在 130 萬美元到 480 萬美元之間。較低的預測是基於 BTC 作為基礎貨幣而作出的。較高的預測來自更常見的 M2 評估，Investopedia 認為 M2 衡量的是貨幣供應量，包括一種貨幣的所有銀行存款及其轉換成現金的能力。
在對每盎司黃金的價格評估中，Fine 和 Gurushina 更傾向於將 31,000 美元的價格預測作為一個可靠的起點，因為很多國家的央行只有很少甚至沒有儲備黃金。由於儲備不足，M2 的預測偏向於更高和更不可靠的每盎司黃金 105,000 美元。
比特幣成為趨勢
最近政治動盪已經導致俄羅斯考慮使用比特幣與「友好合作夥伴」中國和土耳其進行石油交易。
這一趨勢可能會適用於更多國家的央行，美元的主導地位可能會受到打擊。Fine 和 Gurushina 認為，人民幣應該被視為新儲備貨幣的首選，但無論如何，各國可能會重新調整其儲備。
關於 VanEck
VanEck 通過其比特幣期貨交易所交易基金(ETF)比特幣策略 ETF ( XBTF)在加密行業中佔一席之地，該基金總淨資產為 3,010 萬美元。該公司最近還向美國證券交易委員會(SEC)提交了推出新 ETF 的申請，該 ETF 將專注於金礦開採和加密挖礦公司。
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