By Karen Lo —— 2022-10-25
32 share / 3.9k views
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一位高人氣的交易人士認為,比特幣明年將漲破 10 萬美元,但隨後將出現創紀錄的空頭市場。
交易人士 Credible Crypto 在 22 日的一場 Twitter 討論中,支持比特幣下一輪「挖礦獎勵減半」將見到幣價跌至 1 萬美元低點的看法。
比特幣多頭人士只需等待一年就會見到 10 萬美元
目前市場一般的共識是,今年第 4 季會符合 2018 年比特幣空頭市場的尾聲,少有人認為趨勢會改變。
雖然 LookIntoBitcoin 創辦人 Philip Swift 近期大膽預測,熊市再過幾個月就會落幕,但多數分析師都認為,比特幣還會再下探新低。
然而 Credible Crypto 認為,真正有趣之處在於更遠的未來,2023 年將構成一個重大轉折點。
他認為,比特幣明年會先衝上至少 10 萬美元的歷史新高,接著會以前所未見的方式「暴跌」,從頂部往下墜。接著,下一個空頭市場的底部將比今年見到的 17,600 美元更低,買家在 2025 年底有機會以低至 10,000 美元的價格買進。
Credible Crypto 在回覆分析師 Parabullic 提出的最初預測時表示:「同意,我認為可能在 2025 年。」「一開始,(比特幣)會在 2023 年創新高,帶動第 5 波突破 10 萬美元以上,接著是我們從未見過的最大空頭市場,在時間和價格上都會比當前的空頭市場更糟糕,把幣價帶到 1 萬至 1.4 萬美元。」
比特幣後市?1 萬美元 — 200 萬美元
另一位活躍的交易人士 Crypto Tony 則認為,在下一季初就會見到總體低點,然後出現新的上漲趨勢。其他人士則認為,未來數月將見到底部價格在 1 萬至 1.6 萬美元成形。
交易軟體 DecenTrader 共同創辦人 Filbfilb 則認為,比特幣價格會跌至 1 萬美元。另一位高人氣分析師 Il Capo of Crypto 則堅信,比特幣在彈升至 2.1 萬美元後,很快會進入 1.4 萬。1.6 萬美元區間水準。
Il Capo of Crypto 在 21 日告訴粉絲說:「我見到的是大量空頭開始被擠壓。」他認為幣價現在會開始反彈,「做空不是個好點子,會升至 2.1 萬,然後又跌至 1.4 萬」。
以長期來看,資產經理人 Larry Lepard 押注比特幣在未來六年內會飆漲至 200 萬美元。
截至寫稿,比特幣報價約 19,200 美元。
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