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Paul Jones 受訪:一直持有比特幣、通膨猶如擠牙膏,出得來回不去

By Ken Ho—— 2022-10-11
28 share / 3.8k views


傳奇對沖基金經理、投資機構 Tudor Investment Corporation 創辦人 Paul Tudor Jones 接受 CNBC 專訪,他談到美聯儲在利率政策上的挑戰性,而他個人在 2020 年首次公開看好比特幣之後,仍維持類似觀點並持有少量 BTC。



Paul Jones 形容通膨猶如「擠牙膏」,出來了就再也回不去,唯一方式是提高利率,美聯儲也正試圖做到這點,但已陷入兩難。

「當前薪資通膨率是 5.5%,這必須降至 3.5% 才能讓通膨回到 2% 對吧?但這真的很難做到,我們公司正在討論的是 5% 到 10% 的加薪,因此這對美聯儲而言真的很有挑戰性,但若不持續加息,則要面對高度且永久性的通膨。」

Paul Jones 表示,多數經濟衰退在正式開始後會持續約 300 天,而第一個會出現的現象是美聯儲將停止加息並開始實施降息,股市下跌,債券市場也出現拋售潮。

Source: SquawkCNBC


每個十年總會出現不同的代表性事件,如 1970 年的停滯性通膨、1980 年美元的崩盤、1990 年央行貨幣實驗的終止。Paul Jones 指出:

「我一直持有少量的比特幣。當我們處在一個印鈔過量 (正是我們通膨的原因)、財政支出過度的時期時,某些資產像是加密貨幣,特別是總量存在上限的比特幣、以太幣等,在未來某天的價值將遠遠高於今日。」

他並未提到「少量」的比特幣是多少。Paul Jones 最早在 2020 年 五月首次公開看好比特幣,去年六月時強調多元的資產配置 :「5% 現金、5% 黃金、5% 比特幣、5% 大宗商品。」

利好 23
利空 0

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