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美股再收跌、比特幣跌破19,000 摩根大通 CEO 警告:美國 6 至 9 個月內恐陷衰退

By Iona Ng —— 2022-10-11
31 share / 2.9k views

________________________________________________________________________________________

美國股市在 10 日再度全面收跌,受美股行情拖累,比特幣在今日跌破 1.9 萬美元大關。摩根大通(JPMorgan)執行長戴蒙(Jamie Dimon)10 日警告,由於通膨失控等多重不利因素,美國恐在 6 到 9 個月內陷入衰退,而標普 500 指數可能會再輕易下跌 20%。

 

美股全面下跌 納斯達克綜合指數創下 2020 年 7 月以來的最低收盤價

據《路透》報導,由於市場仍擔憂更高利率所帶來的衝擊,再加上拜登政府在上周五實施晶片出口管制措施,包括阻止中國取得用美國設備製造的某些半導體晶片,引發晶片類股下挫,美股 10 日全面下跌,納斯達克綜合指數創下 2020 年 7 月以來的最低收盤價。

道瓊工業指數下跌 93.91 點,或 0.32%,收 29202.88 點;納斯達克綜合指數下跌 110.3 點,或 1.04%,收 10542.1 點;標普 500 指數下跌 27.27 點,或 0.75%,收 3612.39 點;費城半導體指數下跌 81.4 點,或 3.45%,收 2275.3 點。

Source:finviz

 

比特幣跌破 1.9 萬美元大關

加密貨幣市場方面,受美股行情拖累,比特幣(BTC)持續走弱,在今日跌破 1.9 萬美元大關,至截稿前,報 18986 美元,近 24 小時跌幅 2.6%;以太幣(ETH)則跌破 1300 美元關卡,至截稿前,報 1275 美元,近 24 小時下挫 4.2%。

Source:Tradingview

此外,Coinmarketcap 數據顯示,主流幣均全面下挫,幣安幣(BNB)下跌 2.9%,瑞波幣(XRP)下跌 6.7%,艾達幣(ADA)下跌 6.9%,Solana(SOL)下跌 5.1%、 狗狗幣(DOGE)下跌 5.7%、Polygon(MATIC )下跌 3.5%。

 

戴蒙憂美國恐陷衰退

在市場全面走跌之際,摩根大通(JPMorgan)執行長戴蒙(Jamie Dimon)10 日接受《CNBC》專訪時表示,美國經濟目前其實表現良好,消費者形勢可能比 2008 年全球金融危機時更好,但一系列嚴重負面因素,可能導致美國和全球經濟在明年中前陷入衰退。

在敲響警鐘的指標中,戴蒙提到通膨失控、升息幅度超出預期、量化緊縮的未知影響、俄烏戰爭等因素:「我認為,這些非常、非常嚴重的事情,可能會推動美國和全世界(陷入衰退)…我的意思是,歐洲已處於衰退之中,從現在起的 6 到 9 個月內,上述不利因素可能會導致美國陷入某種衰退。」

聯準會在上月連續第三度升息 3 碼,並預計將繼續大幅升息。戴蒙批評,聯準會在通膨飆升至 40 年高點之前「等的太久,做的太少」,但如今聯準會正在迎頭趕上,他希望聯準會能成功,讓經濟放緩到至足夠的程度,且結果溫和,這是有可能的。

至於美國經濟衰退可能會持續多久?戴蒙直言,這難以確定,未來的衰退情況可以在非常溫和到非常艱難之間,很大程度上將與俄烏戰爭結果相關,故應做好準備,但他可以保證的是,市場將會動盪不安,這可能與混亂的金融狀況同時發生。

針對未來的美股走勢,戴蒙悲觀預測,標普 500 指數可能會較當前水平「再輕鬆下跌20%」,他還強調,接下來的 20% 跌幅,將比第一個 20% 跌幅更為痛苦。

 

利好 4
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