By Aaron Lam —— 2022-08-03
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由於宏觀經濟環境再度出現隱憂， Fed 官員在 2 日重申，計劃繼續升息，以遏制不斷飆升的通膨，再加上美國眾議院議長佩洛西（Nancy Pelosi）在 2 日訪問台灣，加劇中美緊張局勢，令風險資產市場承壓。
美國第二季 GDP 負成長 0.9%，符合「技術性衰退」定義，讓許多交易員認為，這是經濟衰退的訊號，因此，上週關於 Fed 將放鬆對抗通膨舉措的猜測有所升溫，美國勞工部 2 日也公布數據顯示， 6 月職位空缺數量減少了 60.5 萬個，這是自 2020 年 4 月疫情爆發以來最大的單月降幅。
美國 6 月職位空缺數量減少 60.5 萬個。 Source：美國勞工部
儘管如此，就業市場依然強勁，6 月每個失業者仍有 1.8 個職位空缺，這表明勞動力市場仍處於充分就業狀態，為美聯儲 9 月再次升息開了綠燈，再加上舊金山聯準銀行總裁戴利（Mary Daly） 2 日表示， Fed 抗擊通膨的努力「遠未完成」，導致風險資產再度面臨下行壓力。
至於佩洛西訪台可能造成的市場衝擊，Quantfury 市場主管 Daniel Muvdi 表示：
「這將給市場帶來一些緊張，但我不認為市場本身會有過於強烈的反應。」
Genesis Trading 衍生品主管 Joshua Lim 則提及，近期關於鼓吹以太坊 PoW 分叉的說法，也給市場造成影響：
「有關以太坊合併的敘述變得有些模糊不清，圍繞 PoW 分叉的複雜性，可能造成一些市場混亂，佩洛西訪台的地緣政治因素，也正在壓低價格。」
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