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佩洛西訪台,令風險資產市場承壓

By Aaron Lam —— 2022-08-03
26 share / 3.1k views

_________________________________________________________________________________________

由於宏觀經濟環境再度出現隱憂, Fed 官員在 2 日重申,計劃繼續升息,以遏制不斷飆升的通膨,再加上美國眾議院議長佩洛西(Nancy Pelosi)在 2 日訪問台灣,加劇中美緊張局勢,令風險資產市場承壓。

 

美國第二季 GDP 負成長 0.9%,符合「技術性衰退」定義,讓許多交易員認為,這是經濟衰退的訊號,因此,上週關於 Fed 將放鬆對抗通膨舉措的猜測有所升溫,美國勞工部 2 日也公布數據顯示, 6 月職位空缺數量減少了 60.5 萬個,這是自 2020 年 4 月疫情爆發以來最大的單月降幅。

美國 6 月職位空缺數量減少 60.5 萬個。 Source:美國勞工部

儘管如此,就業市場依然強勁,6 月每個失業者仍有 1.8 個職位空缺,這表明勞動力市場仍處於充分就業狀態,為美聯儲 9 月再次升息開了綠燈,再加上舊金山聯準銀行總裁戴利(Mary Daly) 2 日表示, Fed 抗擊通膨的努力「遠未完成」,導致風險資產再度面臨下行壓力。

至於佩洛西訪台可能造成的市場衝擊,Quantfury 市場主管 Daniel Muvdi 表示:

「這將給市場帶來一些緊張,但我不認為市場本身會有過於強烈的反應。」

Genesis Trading 衍生品主管 Joshua Lim 則提及,近期關於鼓吹以太坊 PoW 分叉的說法,也給市場造成影響:

「有關以太坊合併的敘述變得有些模糊不清,圍繞 PoW 分叉的複雜性,可能造成一些市場混亂,佩洛西訪台的地緣政治因素,也正在壓低價格。」

利好 22
利空 5

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