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頭條, 商業, 市場, 觀點

【分析】BTC 現價報 19,432

Posted on by Connie

by Connie —— 2022-07-05
39 share / 4.2k views

_________________________________________________________________________________________

7 月剛開負消息爆滿，美聯儲7月加息75個基點的概率為82.6% ，通脹衰退擔憂重挫美股還沒止血，火幣創辦人李林退股，上市以來 Coinbase 股價下跌 85.3%及大幅度裁员，美國SEC已拒絕灰度現貨比利特幣ETF申請，三箭資本申請破產宣布暫停交易存提款，BITCOIN到底能消化多少！

 

盤面分析

老實說開指標BTC是需要反彈，但大多消息及因素熊市我不建議短線買賣做多的，4H 看 BTC 18,600 附近有支撐位，一旦破後很大機會跌至 17,900，未走出新方向大約在 18,500 ~ 20,400 上下游走，而 20,000 會是大阻力位。今週一美股休市激烈撞擊應該會在星期二開始，建議熊市做空優勢比較大也不要太大槓桿進場。
據市場分析，美聯儲到7月份加息 50 個基點的概率為 17.4%，加息 75 個基點的概率為 82.6%；到 9 月份累計加息 50、75 個基點的概率均為 0%，累計加息 100 個基點的概率為 15.7%，累計加息 125 個基點的概率為 76.1%，累計加息 150 個基點的概率為 8.3%。當市場未有得到降溫加息將會持續，而對市場恐慌情緒及憂慮仍有很大負面影響。

在比特幣價格又再次跌破 2 萬美元大關，多間交易公司或借貸平台包括：火幣/COINBASE/三箭資本股價大跌及大規模裁員，高盛將 Coinbase (COIN) 的評級從「中性」下調至「賣出」，火幣創辦人李林更退股該交易所也因清退中國用戶和市場低迷影響，所以我經常強調選擇安全好平台很重要JPEX擁有安全彈性既理財功能在熊市時候是十分重要， 還在逆市中宣布全球招募，最近獲註冊立陶宛加密貨幣牌照，為用戶帶來更強大的實力信心。

最近未進場現貨朋友建議先進行套利收息，等待市場出現新的方向再買貨，切勿進行任何大倉位操作。

阻力位 19,600 , 20,350, 21,200
支撐位 18,800 , 18,150 , 17,600 

利好 20
利空 0

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