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【分析】BTC 繼 2020 年 12 月以來首次跌破 20,000 大關 ETH 亦跌破 1,000

by Iris Wu —— 2022-06-18
88 share / 6.8k views

_________________________________________________________________________________________

BTC跌破 20,000 美元, 日內跌幅達到 4.42 %,ETH 亦跌破 1,000 美元,日內跌幅達到 9.47 %。

 

昨日反彈後今日內再次回踩 下方支撐岌岌可危

經過美聯儲會議後 4 小時進入反彈行情,最高反彈至 22,900 附近回踩,目前又回踩21,000 下方,是否還要跌破 20,000 關口?BTC 日線級別,KDJ 向下發散,MACD 低位死叉,K 線昨日收倒錘子線,今日觸碰 MA5 附近回踩,反彈行情未能開啓;4 小時級別,KDJ 死叉,MACD 低位金叉,K線衝高回落,下方依舊要關注 20,000 關口支撐,上方重點關注 23,400 附近壓力;1 小時及 15 分鐘震蕩下行,有反彈需求,再次關注下本次反彈力度,如果再次下探 22,000 極大概率跌破,建議高空為主。 

BTC 短期壓力 23,400-24,300,短期支撐 20,000-18,900;ETH 短期壓力 1,280-1,380,短期支撐 1,000-800。

加息過程中必定維持低迷狀態 加密市場將繼續承壓

從美聯儲態度來看,美聯儲似乎已經決定犧牲部分經濟增長和就業,以換取一定程度的通脹下降。所以當前市場走勢在消化加息過程中,必定維持低迷狀態,加密市場將繼續承壓,整體走勢來看當前空頭走勢沒有任何改變,短線止跌的原因在於拋售的暫時緩解。

比特幣方面日線級別走勢來來,自跌破 33,000 以後出現了一次連續放巨量止跌信號,盤整了將近一個月的時間,跌破了籌碼密集區承接盤提供的支撐,空頭延續到了 2 萬一線,跌至 2 萬一線的過程中,再次出現了在下跌過程中放巨量,同樣的也是有強承接籌碼密集區給價格提供支撐,所以從籌碼面的角度來講,這裡是有一定止跌信號。當然筆者來看這是當前虛假信號,其根本原因在於市場抄底情緒加劇,拋售得到緩解的原因。但是趨勢總歸還是處於下跌趨勢,該位置想要形成底部結構需要更多的資本積累和市場回暖帶來的利多消息才能緩解當前極弱的局面。

利好 97
利空 0

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