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【區塊練習生 – C 弟分析】14/6/2022 底部究竟在哪?

by 區塊練習生 – C 弟 —— 2022-06-14
26 share / 3.4k views

_________________________________________________________________________________________

6 月 14 日貪婪與恐慌指數為 8,為極度恐慌。目前加密貨幣市場進入一輪熊市行情,比特幣及以太幣都都出現瀑布式下跌,加上 Celsius 接連爆出内部問題,並對外宣佈暫停平台運作,令持幣者恐慌性抛售以太幣,拖累比特幣的走勢跟隨瀑布式下跌。

 

加密貨幣市場進入熊市 持幣者恐慌性抛售

6 月 14 日貪婪與恐慌指數為 8,為極度恐慌。目前加密貨幣市場進入一輪熊市行情,比特幣及以太幣都都出現瀑布式下跌,加上 Celsius 接連爆出内部問題,並對外宣佈暫停平台運作,令持幣者恐慌性抛售以太幣,拖累比特幣的走勢跟隨瀑布式下跌。

再者上周五公布的消費者價格指數 CPI 顯示,5 月份整體通脹率為 8.6%, 處於 30 年來歷史性高位,令美聯儲決策者正考慮將銀行間隔夜融資的基準基金利率上調75個基點。

從比特幣一小時走勢圖比特幣目前價格跌穿看漲的下降三角形,若能收復上方壓力位,有機會從上28000左右的水平。但受美聯儲加息影響,反應市場價格正在消化這些訊息,估計還有下探的可能性。

目前在 23000 左右位置做盤整,壓力位在 23700,上一日已有 4 次嘗試突破這壓力位,可是都不能成功,如站穩 23000,短期會收復至 23700 這水平,也是下跌陰燭的開始端。

目前 ETH 價格處於 2018 年的地位,加上 Celsius 及美聯儲加息的影響,以太幣出現恐慌性抛售, 從以太幣 4 小時級別目前在 Fibonacci 延伸比例的 2.618 得到支撐,目前以太幣支撐位在 1190 的水平。

再看以太幣一小時走勢圖,目前在 Fibonacci 的 0.382 受到阻力,會密切留意價格行爲,一旦不能突破並有回調,以太幣價格便有可能回落至 1187 這個水平。

目前加密貨幣市場波動性較強,緊記做好風險管理,再合適價格可以考慮建倉。

BTC
阻力位:25100·23762·23000
支撐位:22000·20800·21800

ETH
阻力位:1320·1280·1253
支撐位:1187·1100·1074

資料來源:區塊練習生 – c弟

利好 14
利空 1

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